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Message started by KingOfPain on Sep 30th, 2011 at 5:05pm

Title: Texas drought could last 15 years
Post by KingOfPain on Sep 30th, 2011 at 5:05pm
Texas drought could last 15 years
9-30-2011

A Texas climatologist says the state may face another 5 to 10 years of the current agriculture-crushing drought.

Texas state climatologist John Nielson-Gammon tells The Lookout that he fears the drought--which has already cost more than $5 billion in damage--may be similar to the one that struck the state in the 1950s. The weather patterns at the source of this drought are likely to continue, Nielson-Gammon said--namely the "La Niņa" weather pattern in the Pacific. The drought cycle began in earnest in 2005--though 2007 and 2010 were wet years--and may stick around until 2020. Ninety-five percent of the state is experiencing severe or exceptional drought.

"Many residents remember the drought of the 1950s, and tree ring records show that drought conditions occasionally last for a decade or even longer. I'm concerned because the same ocean conditions that seem to have contributed to the 1950s drought have been back for several years now and may last another five to 15 years," he said in a statement.

The 1950s drought, which lasted seven years, reshaped Texas by spurring a movement away from rural areas and into cities. The state also formed a network of artificial lakes that are still around today.

It's still unclear what the long-term impact of this drought will be. The past year has been the driest year on record in the state, while the past summer was also the hottest on record, according to the National Weather Service. More than 125,000 acres burned in wildfires. Half of the state's cotton crop has been destroyed, even long-time ranchers are selling off their cattle en masse, and millions of trees are withered and dying. The touristy area of Lake Conroe, near Houston, is quickly drying up as well.

In April, Gov. Rick Perry asked Texans to pray for rain in an official proclamation, but those prayers have gone unanswered.

Federal aid will offset most of the drought's damage so far--approximately $5.2 billion in agricultural losses and $250 million in wildfire devastation, reports The Christian Science Monitor. But the drought may cause more long-term damage, according to Hillary Hylton at Time. The price of cotton products is likely to go up soon, while beef prices might go down for a while before rising dramatically in two years or so. That's because Texas farmers who are selling off their cattle now will glut the market, but in a few years there will be fewer cows breeding.

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Lake E.V. Spence in Robert Lee, Texas (AP)

Texas drought in pictures
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Title: Re: Texas drought could last 15 years
Post by KingOfPain on Oct 1st, 2011 at 3:58pm
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Title: Re: Texas drought could last 15 years
Post by flipperlips on Oct 2nd, 2011 at 7:52am
We got some much needed rain yesterday...I think we got about 2 inches, not nearly enough, but we'll take what we can get  :)

On the other hand we were coming home from Michigan and we made a stop over in Abilene and on our way to Mcallen we couldn't believe how many of the rivers, creeks and lakes were drying up  :(

Title: Re: Texas drought could last 15 years
Post by BarbaraD on Oct 2nd, 2011 at 10:44am
All the rain we've gotten here has been hap-hazard - a few minutes then the sun comes back out and we get steam.

One good thing - it's cooler now and predictions are showing it's going to stay that way so maybe fall has fell at last. Was 47 this morning. I've got windows and doors open - having chills but enjoying them...

60,000 of those burned acres were right here within a few miles of me and we're not sure what's going to happen yet. We're still getting over the "shock".

Funny (not humorous) people are trying to "act" like everything is normal around here, but we know it's not and won't be for a long time. We had 67 homes burned - livestock are still being housed at the Rodeo arena and hay is still being trucked in for them. And that's just a couple of things.. Where do we "go" from here? Where to start? Kids are coming home with "Johnny is living with his aunt now and his sister is living with her grandmother - they lost their house." Makes you want to cry at times.

I really don't know what kind of help the govt is going to give us (got a "note" from the IRS yesterday that those here - since we're considered a "disaster area" DO have a few more days to file their taxes - last extension -without a penalty and I thought that was mighty nice of them!  >:().

Marc was affected directly - my family was lucky - we only had a "scare" but the fires didn't get to us (only around us). But our "friends" were hit hard and that hurts.

We can only pray that the winter won't be as bad as we "think" and that recovery will be swifter than predicted.

And that's me being as serious as I know how... :-*

Title: Re: Texas drought could last 15 years
Post by Marc on Oct 7th, 2011 at 11:32am
The final count in my neighborhood appears to be 1,554 homes lost..........

Title: Re: Texas drought could last 15 years
Post by Melissa on Oct 7th, 2011 at 11:37am

Marc wrote on Oct 7th, 2011 at 11:32am:
The final count in my neighborhood appears to be 1,554 homes lost..........

Oh dear God, that's 1,554 too many!!  So very sorry to them all! :(

Title: Re: Texas drought could last 15 years
Post by Kevin_M on Oct 7th, 2011 at 1:04pm
Marc,

I'd been wanting to comment on your beautiful surrounding natural scenery that was lost, you once showed pictures, but the depth of deprivement and sacrifice so many have experienced makes it an odd comment under the circumstances.  Just happy you have your home.  So many without is abysmal.

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