From Gannett's 2007 Annual Report:
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Quote:Looking to 2008, ad revenues and volume are expected to be lower in most core print categories and in most newspaper markets. Continued growth is expected from online ad sales. Revenue results for 2008 will be affected by regional economic performance in the U.S. and the U.K. (key affected categories would include retail, real estate, employment and automotive), consumer confidence, by competitive forces, weakening or strengthening in the British pound-to-U.S. dollar exchange rate and the geopolitical environment.
All of those key categories seem to still be weak, most likely further than anticipated.
Quote:Reported newspaper payroll costs were up approximately 6% reflecting additions to headcount from acquisitions and non-daily publication growth. On a pro forma basis, payroll costs rose 4%.
The recent e-mail reflects a 3% staff reduction cost. The question is, will a 3% reduction be adequate.
Quote:Outlook for 2008: Payroll costs are expected to decline, reflecting the impact of staff reductions in the U.S. and U.K.
It appears the staff reduction was in the picture as of last year.
There were many unfavorables mentioned, but a favorable one has changed to maybe be included as unfavorable for 2008, which would have been probably not been budgeted accurately.
Quote:Newspaper operating income: Newspaper operating income decreased in 2007, to $1.41 billion from $1.61 billion in 2006. The principal factors affecting operating income were the following:
Favorable
- generally lower newsprint usage and prices; and
- currency translation at a higher rate in 2007.
This is an article about newsprint ink price hike in July:
Quote:Ink companies announce price hike
Flint Group North America Publication Inks Division announced a crude oil surcharge of $.10 per pound, effective July 1. The increase is in response to rapidly increasing raw material, energy and freight costs, and will affect all heatset, coldest and newspaper inks sold in North America, Flint said.
Meantime, Central Ink Corp. said it will hike its prices July 1, also citing raw materials costs. The increase includes an extra $0.12 per pound on all non-heat black inks, an 8 percent increase on all non-heat colors and a 6 percent increase on all heatset inks.
"Today’s crude oil prices are more than double what they were one year ago," said Bradley J. Dahleen, vice president of sales and marketing for Central Ink. "This proves problematic for ink manufacturers because the majority of ink products are derived from crude oil and
news ink itself consists of 50-70 percent crude oil."
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Earnings per share, last three full years:
2007 2006 2005
$4.18 $4.81 $4.84
This is an article of Gannett's income last quarter:
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Quote:Gannett on Wednesday posted a 36 percent drop in quarterly profit because of a decline in print advertising sales as its revenue fell 10 percent to $1.72 billion.
Advertising revenue is also declining because of weakening economy. On top of that, Gannett, the publisher of USA Today, the largest U.S. newspaper by circulation, faces increasing newsprint prices in the second half of the year, which may further erode its profit margins.
Getting to my point here Pegg, this might most importantly be a consideration for you:
Quote:"The review is prompted by the ongoing and deepening declines in Gannett's newspaper revenue and Moody's concern that the company's revenue-enhancement initiatives and cost reduction actions may not be sufficient to prevent continued erosion in free cash flow over the next 12-18 months," the rating company said.
Considering the e-mail said this:
Quote:Will there be further reductions? If so, when? Honestly, I hope not, but...
I agree with Paul's advice:
Paul98 wrote on Aug 19th, 2008 at 5:50am:Pegg, you should look at your long term desires with respect to your job and willingness to live under the cloud of layoffs. Decide what you want and in the mean time stay at your current job while you look, if you look for a new one. i.e. don't burn bridges.
I emphasized a bit.